In the wake of significant federal policy changes, nonprofit organizations that rely on federal grants and programs face new uncertainties. Since January 20, 2025, numerous Executive Orders (EOs) have been signed, aimed at restructuring the size and oversight of the federal government. While these policy shifts impact a wide range of sectors, nonprofit organizations—especially those providing social services—must prepare for potential disruptions to their funding.
Many of these EOs seek to delay, modify, or eliminate programs that nonprofits depend on. Notably, the dissolution of Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) support programs has created instability for social-service funding sources, including grants through US Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). As legal challenges to these policy changes continue, the fate of many funding programs remains uncertain.
In times of transition, preparation is key. Nonprofit leaders must assess the risks and strategically position their organizations to adapt to changing funding landscapes. This article outlines key steps to help your organization proactively evaluate funding vulnerabilities, mitigate risks, and plan for sustainable operations.
Conducting a strategic risk assessment
A structured risk assessment allows nonprofit leaders to gain a clear understanding of their financial vulnerabilities and take action to protect key programs. We recommend a multi-step approach, starting with financial planning and gradually incorporating additional layers of strategic analysis.
Step 1: Assess current funding sources
Begin by taking an inventory of all current and long-term revenue sources. Identify which grants and funding streams come from federal programs, and classify them based on stability and potential risk.
Step 2: Identify at-risk programs
As policies shift, determine which programs may be most affected by government changes. Some grant administrators may face staffing reductions, making it difficult to access funding information. Networking with industry peers can provide insights into evolving federal priorities.
Step 3: Track policy and budget developments
Assign a staff member or team to monitor federal EOs, legislative actions, and budgetary adjustments that could impact funding availability. Staying informed about policy shifts will help nonprofit leaders anticipate changes and respond proactively.
Step 4: Create a risk matrix
A risk matrix can help nonprofits classify funding sources based on likelihood of disruption:
- High Risk: Programs likely to be defunded, canceled, or eliminated.
- Medium Risk: Funding programs that have not been directly targeted but could be affected by broader budget cuts.
- Low Risk: Confirmed funding sources that are unlikely to change.
By sorting funding sources into risk categories, leadership teams can prioritize critical discussions with stakeholders and the board.
Strengthening financial strategies
Uncertainty surrounding federal funding can lead to operational difficulties, but proactive financial planning will allow nonprofits to adapt the changing environment. BerryDunn’s nonprofit consulting team specializes in change management, helping organizations navigate complex funding and policy landscapes.
Additionally, our expert team empowers nonprofits to optimize their reimbursement strategies and enhance budget resilience. Strategic financial planning ensures organizations maximize their resources while minimizing risk exposure.
Take action today
Preparation is the key to nonprofit sustainability in a shifting policy environment. To help organizations streamline their risk assessment process, BerryDunn has developed free workbook templates that simplify financial analysis.
Download our eBook and financial risk assessment templates today to take the next step toward stability.
Federal policy changes don’t have to derail your organization’s mission. With the right tools, nonprofits can build resilience and continue making a meaningful impact.