A modest rate increase and CMS's inquiry into PDPM case-mix growth
The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) issued the FFY 2027 Skilled Nursing Facility (SNF) Prospective Payment System (PPS) Final Rule, which was published in the Federal Register on July 31, 2026.
The rule updates SNF PPS payment rates effective from October 1, 2026, to September 30, 2027, and includes changes to the SNF Quality Reporting Program (QRP), the SNF Value-Based Purchasing (VBP) Program, and several policy initiatives that may shape future reimbursement.
While the payment update is relatively straightforward, CMS devoted considerable attention to reviewing trends under the Patient Driven Payment Model (PDPM), signaling continued focus on coding practices and potential future payment adjustments. Providers should pay close attention to this area as CMS evaluates comments received regarding case-mix growth and potential PDPM recalibrations.
FFY 2027 PPS rate calculations
CMS finalized a 2.4% payment update for FFY 2027, reflecting:
- A 3.3% SNF market basket increase
- Less a 0.9 percentage-point productivity adjustment
- No forecast error adjustment
CMS estimates that the aggregate impact of the payment policies in this Final Rule will result in an increase of 2.4%, or approximately $882.7 million, in Medicare Part A payments to SNFs in FFY 2027. These estimates do not include the impact of SNF Value-Based Purchasing (VBP) adjustments, which CMS estimates will reduce payments by approximately $203.6 million. The impact of the update will vary by provider based on wage index changes, geographic location, resident case mix, and facility-specific VBP performance.
CMS projects an average payment increase of 2.4% for urban SNFs and 2.7% for rural SNFs, with a low of 0.5% for rural Mountain providers and a high of 4.6% for rural New England providers. Actual provider-level impact will vary based on wage index changes and other facility-specific factors.
The unadjusted federal rates for FFY 2027, prior to adjustment for case-mix, are as follows:
FFY 2027 Unadjusted Federal Rate Per Diem – Urban
| Rate Component |
PT |
OT |
SLP |
Nursing |
NTA |
Non-Case-Mix |
| Per Diem Amount |
$77.46 |
$72.10 |
$28.93 |
$132.02 |
$101.87 |
$120.91 |
FFY 2027 Unadjusted Federal Rate Per Diem – Rural
| Rate Component |
PT |
OT |
SLP |
Nursing |
NTA |
Non-Case-Mix |
| Per Diem Amount |
$88.30 |
$81.10 |
$36.44 |
$129.00 |
$97.33 |
$123.15 |
These rates remain subject to PDPM case-mix adjustments and facility-specific wage index adjustments.
Updated PPS Rate Calculator available
As in prior years, BerryDunn has updated its interactive PPS Rate Calculator within the BerryDunn Senior Living Portal to incorporate the FFY 2027 payment rates and wage index information to assist you with the calculation of your facility-specific PPS rates.
Access the PPS Rate Calculator.
Please note that calculated rates do not reflect facility-specific SNF VBP adjustments. BerryDunn will update the calculator as necessary once final incentive payment multipliers become available. Meanwhile, VBP information, including the incentive payment modifier for FFY27, has been made available to providers in iQIES. We recommend reviewing data carefully and promptly, as any requests for corrections are accepted by CMS through the end of August.
CMS focuses on PDPM case-mix growth
The most notable policy discussion in this year's Final Rule is CMS's continued evaluation of PDPM reimbursement trends.
CMS previously solicited stakeholder feedback through a Request for Information (RFI) regarding observed increases in certain PDPM coding elements since implementation. Examples cited by CMS include substantial increases in reporting of diagnosis codes that increase PDPM reimbursement, such as malnutrition, swallowing disorders, and depression indicators. CMS noted that these trends have occurred while certain categories of resource utilization have declined.
The agency presented potential methodologies for measuring what it refers to as "case-mix creep" and sought stakeholder feedback regarding possible future payment adjustments. While CMS did not finalize any PDPM payment reductions in this rule, the methodology discussed in the proposed rule produced a hypothetical system-wide case-mix creep adjustment factor of 0.957, which CMS estimated could equate to a 4.3% reduction in CMIs/base rates or a 3.6% reduction in total payments. Providers should view this discussion as a clear signal that CMS is actively evaluating whether future reimbursement modifications are warranted.
CMS did not finalize any PDPM-related payment adjustments in FFY 2027. However, organizations should continue emphasizing accurate, well-supported clinical documentation and coding practices.
SNF QRP update
CMS finalized several changes to the SNF Quality Reporting Program.
Removal of COVID-19 measures
Beginning with FFY 2028 SNF QRP reporting, CMS is removing:
- COVID-19 Vaccination Coverage Among Healthcare Personnel
- COVID-19 Vaccine: Percent of Patients/Residents Who Are Up to Date
CMS noted that evolving vaccination guidance and the move toward individualized clinical decision-making have reduced the usefulness of these measures for quality reporting purposes.
Shorter data submission deadlines
CMS finalized changes that will significantly shorten quality reporting submission timelines.
Beginning with FFY 2029 SNF QRP reporting, providers must submit data by the 15th day of the second month following the end of each calendar quarter, approximately 45 days after quarter-end, replacing the current four-and-a-half-month submission time frame. CMS stated the change is intended to improve the timeliness of publicly reported quality information.
All-payer MDS reporting requirement
CMS finalized a requirement that SNFs submit MDS data for all residents receiving covered skilled services, regardless of payer, beginning with the FFY 2031 SNF QRP. This change is intended to align SNF quality reporting with other post-acute care settings and provide a broader picture of SNF quality performance.
SNF VBP program update
CMS finalized performance standards for FFY 2029 and FFY 2030, revised the snapshot date for two MDS-based VBP measures to align with the revised QRP submission timeline, and made technical regulatory updates.
CMS estimates that the SNF VBP Program will result in an approximately $203.6 million reduction in aggregate payments to SNFs nationwide during FFY 2027.
Bottom line for SNFs
The FFY 2027 Final Rule delivers a modest 2.4% payment increase.
CMS signaled continued interest in PDPM coding trends and potential future payment refinements. At the same time, providers should begin preparing for accelerated QRP reporting timelines and eventual all-payer MDS submission requirements.
For most organizations, the immediate next step is understanding the impact of the FFY 2027 rates on facility-specific reimbursement. BerryDunn's updated PPS Rate Calculator can help quantify that impact and support budgeting efforts for the coming fiscal year.
If you have any questions about the Final Rule or how it might affect your facility, please contact Ashley Tkowski or Melissa Baez.